Sunday, 13 September 2020

Boy meets hurl



I don't know how, but we've recovered from the worst visit to northern Australia since Joanne Lees to enter the last round of the season a live chance of making the top eight. Like Christian Fittipaldi at Monza in 1993 we've somehow emerged from a massive stack unsteadily heading in the right direction. Astute observers will notice Fittipaldi's wheels fell off but that part of the metaphor will not become relevant until next weekend.

After the twin debacles in Cairns we don't deserve to make it and won't get very far if we do but I'm not turning down a ticket in the lottery. There were no fancy Bradbury style equations about what we had to do here, obscure scenarios where a draw or even a loss might have still allowed us through weren't worth discussing, the only realistic way to stay alive was by winning.

Given the number of times Melbourne has lost a must-win game in my life, combined with the lifeless nature of our last two performances I went in hopeful but far from confident. The Giants should have been vulnerable, they'd just lost to Adelaide, dropped their captain amongst eight changes and are slowly making Leon Cameron look like he'd rather have his head in the oven but there was one key factor that convinced me the night would end in disgrace.

It was 'Member Thank You Round', an event previously known as 'Member Appreciation Round' that has more often than not left members reconsidering their life choices. The 2016 Hawthorn breakthrough and the stress-free rampage of Round 23, 2018 were good, but otherwise the day has been responsible for more horror stories than Steven King. In 2013 the member that won the major prize pack didn't even turn up, leaving an exasperated Russell Robertson to say "we'll have to call him and tell him he's won". Could have also filled him in on our 95 point loss. That week we tweeted a link to an IKEA TV unit instead of the team selections.

The next year it was extended to Member Appreciation Week, which ended in 3.16.34 against a GWS side with one player on the bench after half time. In 2019 it was the Friday night game against the Swans that drew a handful of people and a 53 point loss. There is no bigger red flag than when the club we have given so much to - financially, emotionally and spiritually - tries to say thank you. This time they doubled down by charging fans to put their name on the jumper, which will now become a cherished keepsake, not a Jeremy Howe screamer style reminder of losing.

I think this leaves our record on this most sacred of days at 3-5. Which doesn't sound so bad until you consider how much we lost those five games by. This was the narrowest and most exciting of the three wins, but unless something remarkable happens in the next few weeks it will be hard to match the impact of the win over the Giants in 2018. At the time I called it a free hit but now realise that a loss would have meant playing them again in Sydney - no 91,767 crowd, probably no Weideman running riot. Mind you, would have meant not going to Perth for the Prelim...

Not only was I concerned by the negative energy from a day made up by the marketing department, but we'd played so badly against Sydney and Freo that rumbling a mid-table side, even one listing badly like GWS, seemed unlikely. Cairns felt like one long tactical blunder, and selection didn't offer me any comfort that the people in charge had any idea what was going on.

We got the right result here, but those two disasters are going to be costly in the end so it's still valid to whinge about them. We play Spargo and Brown in the first game, drop them for the second, then bring them back together here. Somebody had to go after Sydney (and I did suggest Spargo out so I'm not trying to take moral highground) but how do surprise inclusions in the third last game of the season get one shot before being turfed immediately?

Considering his defensive pressure is pretty good by our standards Spargo would have been a reasonable late inclusion for Preuss on a rainy night. Instead, we played this huge man who is to overhead marking what Bayley Fritsch is to set shot kicking then immediately dropped him for a game in the dry. I have no issues with him being excluded, just don't understand why he took part in a tropical downpour to begin with. It was the most mystifying selection decision since Guus Hiddink picked Zeljko Kalac in the 2006 World Cup.

So instead, we bring back the guy who wasn't good enough against Sydney, while Tom McDonald is buried as an emergency in a week where the opposition's best defender is out. I liked winning this week (who wouldn't?) but have concerns that we landed ourselves in deep shit trying to be clever against lower sides.

Equally, I didn't see the point in giving Bedford a token game then pissing him off again when Pickett hadn't fired a shot in weeks. He was far better tonight but that's only semi-relevant when you're trying to work out the intention of picking Bedford in the first place if you weren't going to back him in. It wasn't like we were playing Richmond and could take a week off when 99% certain of losing, these were important, winnable games.

Anyway, there hasn't been a coach yet who I've agreed on selection with so the most important thing is that they recovered in time for this game. If we'd lost there'd be a much bleaker tone to this post, but it would be hard to deny that they had a genuine bash. And by the skin of our teeth, via three blown leads and a comeback, we did enough to stay upright. Under the circumstances that's the best result you could hope for.

While I expected/demanded a response, shooting to a three goal lead in the opening minutes was unexpected. Some took their response a bit too seriously, like Jack Viney trying to prove how important he is (especially in the week of a well-timed and probably fake leak about Geelong looking at getting him as a free agent if he doesn't get the contract he wants) by taking on seven players at a time. Didn't work but appreciated the idea.

They could stop Viney, but Oliver and Petracca kept up their end of the bargain in the middle, while recruit of the year Langdon continued his belting second half of the season by exploring empty space on the wings like he was Vasco De Gama. Which made a change from us moving the ball like Burke and Wills. All three were solid contributors to the end result, along with the always dependable May and a cast of randoms that would have left neutrals scratching their heads.

First cab off the rank on the most unusual night of goalkickers in living memory was Oskar Baker, who has spent his time in the hub maturing from a youthful, Danny Bonaduce impersonator to looking like a marauding bikie. Taking advantage of a Giants defending shitting himself in a tackle and kicking on the full instead of letting himself be carried over in the tackle, he was untroubled by an arsehole of an angle on the boundary line.

I quite enjoyed Baker on the wing. He was no Ed Langdon but proved worth keeping around for another year. No idea where this leaves Tomlinson, but he's a fair enough player so we've got about four more years to find something for him to do.

After last week I was just happy to get a goal in the first 19 and a half minutes, but we were clearly on top and missed two more chances in quick succession. No matter how good the early signs you knew it wasn't going to turn into a 65 point win, so any sort of lead in the bank would be much appreciated.

The second goal was from a more regulation finish, but the build-up was superb. Not Lever's wonky kick beyond Gawn (of all the people you could kick over the top of...) in the middle of the ground, but the way Oliver went scooped it up while running around Hunt and turned back into traffic to hit Neal-Bullen with a precise kick. Not everything Clayton does comes off, but it's all conjured up with a mystical sixth sense that he may have got by selling his soul to the devil at a deserted crossroad on a moonless night.

ANB's golf swing tribute to the crocked Angus Brayshaw was nice, but the point at the sky was a little extreme, it's not like he'd died on the operating table. Was it Brad Green who clutched at the jumper in excitement one day only for it to look like he was extremely keen on Hankook tyres? Channel 7 quickly rushed a picture of a living Brayshaw onto the screen to explain the celebration and assure the community that he hadn't bled out from his foot. Though if any team is going to accidentally send a player to a butcher shop hospital that botches an operation you can be 99% sure it will be us.

I still wasn't getting overly excited. We've seen enough games that looked promising when we had the ball but went sour the moment the opposition got their hands on it. But even I started to get a bit excited when we went three up. And yes, people who like saying I told you so, much of this one was set up by Pickett. I would still argue that his fundamentals are sorely crying out for a second string competition to develop in, but he's got a killer instincts that will make him dangerous when he gets the basic stuff right.

He charged out of an unlikely appearance defence, played a one-two with vandenBerg, and gave to Weideman, who intelligently found Spargo storming down into the 50 on his own, and Charleston had all the time in the world to straighten up and finish it. Bonus points for the ball landing behind the goals with a satisfying metallic thud.

It was nearly four goals to nil, but Pickett missed the opportunity to have half the planet misconstrue my comments about him with a rotten set shot. I still don't know why Alan Richardson wanted Jack Viney kicking for his life (maybe he was depressed?) but after last night I'm certain he doesn't want Pickett doing it either. Plenty of time to work on the set shots, I'm just glad he was getting into a position to take them.

This led indirectly to the first GWS goal and the collective groan of "here we go again" from Melbourne fans everywhere. It was a stupid goal to give away too, you can argue whether the force of Lever's post-mark bump merited a 50, but in a year where umpires are conducting a war on niggle it was an unnecessary risk to take. Lever has been handy this year but is prone to doing NQR things then standing there with a wounded look like he's a conspiracy victim. Like old school Tom McDonald he had some classic cock-ups that everyone will remember but also did a lot of good, unheralded work. Still miles from his best performance.

They might have kicked the goal without the 50, but that made sure of it. Next thing they've got players toe-poking loose balls through from stoppages and our dominance of the early stages was been reduced to a six point lead. Had the rest of the quarter played out like that you'd still have been satisfied, but not without the feeling that we'd wasted a golden opportunity to build a solid lead.

Instead experts and internet hacks alike were confounded by us bouncing back with the last two goals. They were both good ones too, starting with solid crumb by Hunt. He doesn't get much of the ball but there's an X-Factor about him that makes me want them to keep playing him. Whether he's a long-term solution for an allegedly aspiring premiership team (let's just start with making the eight) I don't know, but for where we're at now he'll do.

Then, on a night where he was in every pack he could find on the way to 19 contested disposals but wayward by foot, Petracca got full value for this kick:

In the famous words of Alan Partridge, he must have a foot like a traction engine.

 We'd already had one goal from Oliver's silky gather, but all he had to do was dribble around a teammate like Michael Jordan, Petracca reacted to a dropped mark, spelunked through two opponents, scooped the ball up and kicked around the corner over an attempted smother from 40 metres out. Pretty good. The AFL's Twitter department obviously thought so, unlike the butcher who put together the website highlights and didn't see fit to include it.

We got 10 seconds of explanation about why ANB pointed at the sky, but a blockbuster goal like this doesn't make the cut. I demand an Apocalypse Now Redux style extended cut to make sure Truck's goal is given the glory it deserved.

With 30 seconds left it was not only a Reverse DemonTime job, it put us 18 points up again at the first change. Or at least it would have, had we not responded to this stroke of luck in the most Melbourne way possible. I'm used to giving goals back straight out of the middle, but the circumstances here were extra special. Shane Mumford was obviously in a bad mood after giving away the free that led to Petracca's goal, and he took it out on Clayton Oliver's face at the next centre bounce. Sensing a chance to pile on another goal, Max tried to take the advantage, but his wobbly sideways pass to Baker was intercepted, leaving the Giants trotting off towards goal.

Understandably, this turn of events came as a surprise to the coach, who was left open-mouthed with his texta comically poised in mid-air (and another mysteriously held upside down in the other hand) as he tried to comprehend what had just happened. I'll tell you what happened, you've just booked yourself a spot on the meme circuit.



Odds are he was about to write either 'learnings' or 'connection', and the Giants got some of the latter when the ball ended in the hands of baby-faced villain Toby Greene inside 50 for a shot after the siren. Unlike a particular night out at Zagames he failed to connect, letting us (especially a visibly relieved Gawn) off the hook.

Parting Oliver's already ridiculous Barnet with his forearm wasn't the end of Mumford's crime spree. He attacked the task of whacking our players like a Scarface style pile of cocaine. If the ludicrously close 1's in Gawn's jumper number were a tribute to September 11, the swinging Mumford arm that whacked him represented the plane. Did this jumbo-line snorting lummox not appreciate that we might need the Giants to beat St Kilda next week?

Like any high scoring Melbourne quarter, you knew the next one wasn't going to be as good but I appreciated getting to within one of our entire score in the Freo game. It equalled Carlton for our highest opening term of the year, but like that game, and the 15 point quarter time lead against St Kilda it turned out to be nothing more than insurance against the usual 10 minutes where we forget how to play.

It's unlikely that we'll never play in Cairns again but I'd still like an inquest into how we were so bad there twice. Mind you, let's not get too cocky from one (relatively) high score, you're not going to get the novelty top goalkickers line of Baker 2, Rivers 2, Spargo 2 every week. It's just as likely that this skitzo team will go back to kicking 4.9 next week.

One thing we desperately need is for The Weid to get going again. He's having a reverse 2018, doing his best work early then going missing at the end. He's trying hard but struggling for the lack of another tall forward target that offers some mystery about who we're kicking long to. I appreciated the work of Mitch Brown up the ground but he looked as likely to take a mark inside 50 as me, allowing the GWS defence to do as Sydney and Freo did and converge on Weideman as the ball came off the boot. He's not entirely faultless considering he dropped a couple of marks but against a side who should (SHOULD) allow us numerous forward entries next week getting him into the clear occasionally could make a big difference.

Suspicions that we weren't going to run away with an unchallenged victory were confirmed a minute into the second quarter when the Giants plucked a goal from their lower intestine. Forget Lever holding a mark that would have been paid 9/10 times, the way Brent Daniels (never heard of him before last night, will never forget him now) rolled it in from the boundary line, with the most generous bounce of all time - even better than Petracca in Alice Springs - was just the sort of goal we excel in conceding.

It literally could have gone anywhere, including skidding across the boundary 20 metres from goal, before turning like the ball that bamboozled Mike Gatting and rolling through. Would have been good if the goal line cameras had caught one of our players touching it but alas no.

This kicked off a couple of minutes where Pickett was in everything but couldn't kick a set shot to save anyone's life. That was wasteful, but importantly we'd retained our bundle after conceding the bullshit fluke goal instead of standing there in wonder for the next five minutes while they kicked three more. That came later. For now we were treated to the best goal by a number 33 since...
... when Baker snapped his second from in traffic on the boundary line. He's now kicked 4/4 career goals against the Giants and is a red hot contender for their Kingsley equivalent.

Our next goal came courtesy of one of the great hornswogglings of the season. Petracca mowed a Giants player down in the middle of the ground then just ran forward instead of taking his free, allowing Weideman to find him in acres of space to bomb a kick forward that Hunt intelligently tapped into the path of Pickett to boot through the open goal.

In what universe does the umpire not stop play well before that point and order Petracca to come back and take the kick? He must have had a brainfade thinking Weid had taken the advantage when he clearly declined before spotting Truck standing on his own and deciding to go with it. I can understand being on the wrong side of a contest and missing a rugby pass out of a pack, this was fantastically bad and Giants fans would be bleeding about conceding a goal from it. Who knows, maybe they wouldn't have kicked the next three without being robbed blind first? They certainly wouldn't have got the one we bled straight out of the middle 20 seconds later.

Speaking of wacky decisions, Midfield Milkshake had a shocker but did get away with two of the most blatant throws you'll ever see. As karmic payback he was then pinched for 'holding' late in the quarter when the Giants reacted to incidental contact like Jaws was dragging him into the sea. Their third in less than five minutes saw the Giants climb out of the massive ditch we'd left them in with five minutes to play and lead. Fritsch had a chance to get us back in front from one his coin-flip set shots but missed, leaving scores level. I would have taken it if offered before the game but after the first 11 minutes of the quarter it was a letdown.

Melk later relieved some of his frustrations by trying to cave Toby Greene's head in during an aerial duel. The umpire turned a blind eye, reminiscent of the soccer game in Year 10 sports where the opposition goalkeeper was such an insufferable turd that my clattering, red card under any circumstances interruption of his Rene Higuita style run was ignored. Let the record show that I then plonked the ball through the unguarded goal from the halfway line, arguably the finest sporting achievement of my life. Either that or the goal in my solitary intra-school footy match (indeed the only one our pov state school played that year), over my head from 40 metres out, clearly touched and celebrated with a Ric Flair strut that prompted somebody in the distance to yell "what a poof!" You'd never get away with any of it today.

If we hadn't worked hard to blow leads all night I'd have been happy to go into half time level, but there was going to be major disappointment if we'd turned two red-hot periods of play into a loss. There were two more Giants comebacks to get through, one that left us enough time to recover, the other than would have stuffed us too late to do anything about it.

Before that Trent Rivers snatched the lead back with his first career goal. Even better that it came from Mumford giving away an unnecessary free kick via an oafish attempt at a smother that whacked the artist formerly known as Luke Jackson's fluffer in the face. It was a false start, we spent the next few minutes on the back foot and with our season seemingly dying a thousand deaths. It started with another novelty Brent Daniels goal, and was followed by two more than left us in significant trouble.

Just when it looked like we'd have to conjure up a final quarter like the famous 2013 avalanche (still the highest scoring fourth quarter in club history, thank you Mark Neeld), Salem steered through a nice goal to keep the margin in single figures. Sporting stress does strange things to your mind, if I had to write this without being able to check quarter-by-quarter scores or replays I'd swear we'd come from 12 points down to win, even after Salem's goal. It wasn't as romping a win as 2013 but unlike that day it meant something more than the coach being able to leave without having his car set on fire.

With everything to play for in the last quarter and the opposition having a slight edge it was like betting the whole season on black at the casino. My internet connection realised that I was about to excessively emotionally invest in the result and tried to warn me by slowing to a crawl. The WiFi > Laptop > Megawall setup at the Towers occasionally has a dip in quality, but the picture quality usually bounces back before you realise what happened. This was 20 minutes of scaling between High, Standard and Zero definition with no concern for my physical or mental health.

I know the last time it happened was Brisbane at the Gabba last year because it led to a dramatic reshuffle of modems and boosters that saw me through probably a dozen games without major incident before last night. By pure luck the picture was watchable for each of our goals and the dramatic last few seconds, but in the middle it was a Shockwave Player for Netscape Navigator tribute act. Young people - none of those things may mean anything to you, but I can assure you it sucked by modern standards. At the time I'd have given anything to watch a game through AmigaVision, now it's enough to set off a breakdown.

Like the St Kilda game I abandoned my comfortable old person style lying down under a blanket for pacing the room like the mentally deranged. Ever since being told off for swearing so loudly it probably woke the neighbours during the Adelaide loss last year I've been reasonably restrained, but there were moments here that must have seeped out of the house. There was one shithouse turnover when the game was in the balance that caused a scream like Charlie Brown:


When I wasn't making pained noises to nobody in particular, I was walking my feelings out, racking up a couple of thousand steps from one side of the room the other, usually muttering veiled threats or pleas under my breath. I'd like to say I'll realise none of this was worth it when we don't make the finals but in the moment it all matters to me. The key difference is how long after a game I stay upset. The last game of 2019 was a dead rubber but I still went off like a porkchop while it was happening, then turned the TV off and got on with life 0.1 seconds after the final siren. Can't think I'd have been scarred forever from losing here but it would have taken a bit to get over.

Ed Langdon's tireless running along the wing like a good $cully was the undoubted highlight of the final quarter, but a word please for Steven May, the backline general of my dreams. It was mentioned during the week that he always sounds like he's about to cry or punch on. That's understandable when you've spent your entire career with Gold Coast and Melbourne, but get into this article and tell me you don't love him. Sure year one might have been a write-off and some snitch caught him hitting the piss when he wasn't supposed to, but now he's a titanic (in the pre-ship fiasco sense) figure in our side.

I loved this bit:

“What I was stressing to the backline was ‘boys, you might have lost a few critical contests, but we still need you, we’re still alive, so I just need your best five minutes and we’ll reassess from there’.”

Presumably, players say this sort of stuff all the time but it doesn't get revealed in interviews. I don't care, he is now officially my favourite post-Ingerson defender. Bad luck original recipe Rivers,  Frawley and McSizzle. See also the words for Lever and Smith that don't sugarcoat their ropey moments but acknowledge their important contribution to saving it at the end. If anyone knows what it's like to recover from disaster it's the man whose backline conceded 15 goals in the first quarter of his debut.

We love May's chat, but his on-field performances are even better. Lever does a few nervy things and may not turn out to be worth exactly what we paid for him but is otherwise fine, May is so reliable one-on-one and in marking contests that you would let somebody shoot your baby out of a catapult at him. Somebody will counter with one of his get-out-of-jail kicks to the flank that didn't quite make the distance and was cut off. I would invite you to go piss up a rope. When you take almost every kick-in, sometimes they won't hit a target. As long as the turnover isn't 20 metres from goal we'll survive. Mainly because he's probably the guy there to mark the kick when it comes back.

As for Smith, I actually didn't mind his performance. Considering how often he was left one-on-one with Jeremy Cameron he did pretty well, other than two minutes of madness at the end of the second quarter when the Giants had a run on. I reserve the right to be terrified whenever he's involved but am prepared to slightly walk back my unkind comments about never wanting to see him in the backline again. I'd still be more comfortable if we went out and bought an established third tall and kept some combination of him, Sizzle Jr and Josh Wagner as the backups.

I didn't have much faith in Burgess Ball being the difference when the only good quarters the Giants have played recently were the last ones, but we started well, and with the backline holding up our only problem was scoring enough goals to win. The first came quickly from Spargo, kicking a set shot from a distance I didn't fancy him at. He was way more consistent in his first year, but the highlights this season have been better. I don't see him as anything more than a fringe player but worth keeping around. In a big last quarter he also set up a Pickett set shot, and pumped the ball perfectly to the top of the square for what turned into the winning goal.

This season I wouldn't bet on Fritsch to kick a set shot from any distance but the coin flipped in our favour when he converted to put us (back to 'us/we' now that there's been a win) ahead again. There was still too much time left, and it felt like we were being lured into a trap. It's a philosophy to live by over the next week, but always assume the worst is going to happen at Melbourne and enjoy the surprise if it doesn't.

Cue several minutes of the game hanging delicately in the balance. Fortunately for us, GWS' response was to kick out on the full from close range, then dump about five long kicks down Steven May's throat. What happened to Jeremy Cameron? I remember when he used to be a terrifying presence as a teenager, now he's just a good ordinary player. Maybe we should swap him for the Sizzle and see if it helps rejuvenate both their careers. Hardly a fair swap for the Giants, and probably worse than the compensation they'll get for letting him go for free but I'm sure our crack trade team will find a way. How they would intend to pay Cameron is another matter. Can we get him an off the books J**d style job as a financial adviser at Zurich?

In the middle of this melee, Neville Jetta took the bullet in a contest and went off injured. If it's the last thing he ever does for us, taking on a contest with no concern for his own wellbeing would be a fitting way to go out. Like Jones there wasn't much before that to convince me he should go on next year but this is the sort of against-the-odds moment of bravery that we'll remember when he's gone. He's clearly a genuinely good bloke so hope he stays around the club in some capacity.

Also interesting to see Jones on the sidelines with a headset. Maybe he hasn't had enough misery as a player and wants to give coaching us a crack too? I'd say it would be better for him to get as far away from Melbourne as possible, but the longer he stays the longer I have before reneging on the idea of building a statue. Not that he doesn't deserve one, I just wouldn't know where to start, or if it would look like a massive pisstake. Sculptors, if you can recreate his post-goal Elimination Final 2018 pose without it looking like Lionel Richie as done by the blind lady please get in contact via the usual channels.

After living on the edge for several minutes, Trent Rivers was nearly the last person I'd have expected to kick the (eventual) winning goal with 2.30 left. Firstly what were the chances he'd be down there to begin with (hardly Neil Crompton circa 1964 but I'll take it), secondly what were the odds of him kicking two in the same game? Bonus home heart attack points for going up flatter than the proverbial shit carter's hat and swinging back towards goal after initially looking like it would be a point. Also, because of the camera angle you had no bloody idea if it was going to go through or land in the square until the last minute. In the end it cleared the line by miles, nearly braining the goal umpire on the way down.

With more than two minutes left I could have done with a recalled bounce that took a few seconds off the clock. We got the next best thing, a Giants player kicking out of bounds on the wing. Anything to chew up time. There had never been a better time for the old saying 'an 11 point lead is a one point loss waiting to happen'. It would be bad enough conceding two goals in quick succession to lose at any time, much less with the season on the line.

On the boundary the Goodwinmill was back, waving his arms forward and back, trying to inspire one last great defensive effort. With the opportunity to usurp Oscar McDonald and Josh Wagner as the Much Maligned Express, Lever and Smith got out of a two-on-one against Cameron without giving away a goal, before repeat stoppages chewed up more time. This simultaneously made it more likely we'd win and more embarrassing if we found a way to lose. Which we almost did. Packing the defence with 18 players was the sensible thing to do, yet somehow our old mate Brent Daniels gathered, spun so hard around Salem that he probably left a divot and cut the margin to less than a kick with 34 seconds left.

If Daniels had been on the Kingsley radar after the first two goals this made absolutely sure of his induction. In 47 previous games he's kicked 17.31 - including 2.8 this year - and now he's plucking goals from his arse at every stage of the game. He also managed to be the only Giants player to get reported on the night, for what looked like a fair and reasonable attempt at getting the ball which ended in his arse impacting Petracca's head. Couldn't spot Mumford clubbing people with forearms like Andre The Giant but were confident enough in this case to put it in the book before the match reviewer watched the tape.

My central nervous system was oscillating, how often do you get to the last minute of a game less than a goal in front, with your season on the line? Probably helps when it's traditionally finished by Round 15. I believe the answer is the moments after the Jeff White miracle free against the Bulldogs. Plenty of water under the bridge since that night, when I had to listen on the radio and nearly toppled a bookcase with the force of my fall to the floor as Davey hit the post straight out of the middle. Relive it through this video, the quality of which is equal to how I saw much of the final quarter last night. At least then we went forward immediately after taking the lead, this landed somewhere in the middle of that and a week earlier when Geelong had a chance to beat us after the siren.

If you're anything like me (and please do seek professional help), your mind will go through scenarios at the end of close games quicker than the nuclear missile computer in Wargames. With 34 seconds left to defend the most obvious ending was the #fistedforever one, Mumford winning a free for the most incidental of contact and goalling after the siren to finish us off. I also considered the Round 1, 2016 thriller when we gave them nine seconds to kick the winning goal and who else but $cully nearly pulled it off.

We held on without ever really being under threat, but I can exclusively reveal that I nearly shit my shorts when Langdon hung off his man after a mark on the wing. In the second quarter that would have been 50. Even without the Buckenara-lite penalty that would have had him kicking to win the game from 45 metres after the siren, they still had time to do damage. Enter Rivers again, charging to spoil a horrible kick to the forward flank out of bounds.

Now it was going to take a colossal, epic failure of system to cost us. Or alternatively some sneaky kick off the side of the boot from a pack that miraculously landed with an unintended target 30 metres out. Gawn probably got another end of game no free kick discount in the ruck contest, but they still got the ball moving towards their 50. Rivers came to the rescue again, forcing a contest that allowed Petracca to gather, give it to Langdon and get it far enough away from goal that it no longer represented a problem. Game over, and after several minutes of threatening to shoot out of either end the contents of my stomach remained in the middle where they belonged.

There's no more heartwarming sight than an under the pump coach celebrating a win. We should know, every coach we've had for the last 20 years has been under the pump at some point. In not turning on him completely no matter what happens next week, I respect that the players seem to really like Goodwin. Whether this translates to him being a good coach is anybody's guess, but I remember the last time we chucked a player's man he was replaced by somebody who came in, called them all weak as piss and nuked the joint so there's a fine line to walk.

You wonder what would have happened this year if we'd got the shit team draw as originally planned. There's no promise that we'd be in the same position with the original fixture, or that we'd have won five extra games against lowly sides. Don't wonder about it too long because it means stuff all now. As long as we play the last game in the right spirit we've got something positive to think about going into summer. For the love of all that is holy please don't let the season end with a tough as nails, battling win here and a dreadful let down in the last game. I still wouldn't put a Richardson/Viney level of confidence in us doing the right thing but, as always, remain hopeful.

2020 Allen Jakovich Medal for Player of the Year 
5 - Ed Langdon
4 - Steven May
3 - Trent Rivers
2 - Clayton Oliver
1 - Christian Petracca

Apologies to Baker, Gawn, Salem and Spargo

Leaderboard
If everything goes our way we'll play a final, but I have serious doubts that we've got two in us, so I'm comfortable declaring Petracca almost certainly home. Oliver battled hard, but he'll have to concede to the full force of the Truck experience. We won't engrave the plate yet but start warming up the red-hot pen. If we lose next week jam it in your ear.

Steven May's position as the Seecamp winner is even more impenetrable, with Salem now needing to pull back four best on grounds to snatch it. A tad unlikely but you never know. The only award with any legs is the Hilton, which has been saved from disarray by Trent Rivers. If we don't play finals he can't lose, and will only have to share it if Pickett grabs five votes. At 40-1 he will be the second longest shot ever to take the title, behind Jayden Hunt (50-1) in 2016.

43 - Christian Petracca (PROVISIONAL WINNER: Allen Jakovich Medal for Player of the Year)
--- No hope without two finals ---
36 - Clayton Oliver
--- No hope without three finals ---
30 - Max Gawn (WINNER: Jim Stynes Medal for Ruckman of the Year), Jack Viney
--- No hope without four finals ---
28 - Steven May (PROVISIONAL WINNER: Marcus Seecamp Medal for Defender of the Year)
--- Better luck next year ---
23 - Ed Langdon
10 - Angus Brayshaw
9 - Christian Salem
6 - Michael Hibberd, Trent Rivers (LEADER: Jeff Hilton Rising Star Medal), Sam Weideman
4 - Jake Lever, Adam Tomlinson
2 - Jake Melksham
1 - Mitch Hannan, Jay Lockhart, Kysaiah Pickett

Aaron Davey Medal for Goal of the Year
Helps when you kick more than a handful, but after last week's impotent showing this was a feast of contenders.  Options considered were:

1) Spargo on the run in the first
2) Hunt's crumb in the first
3) Petracca in the first quarter
4) Baker's snap in the second
5) Salem in the third
6) Rivers at the end

The choice came down to 3) vs 6), and as much as game-winning goals are worth extra points in this competition (see Salem vs Essendon and Watts vs Gold Coast) so I have to go with Petracca again.  I actually liked this better than the turbo thrust sprint out of the middle against North, and am promoting it to the clubhouse lead. For the weekly prize, he gets to go 'round the back' with the hotel employee of his choice. After this season they'll be queuing to Indooroopilly to get involved.

I wouldn't invite either to my birthday party, but for a game that toyed with my emotions Darcy and Brayshaw were probably the best options Channel 7 could offer. Maybe substitute Hamish McLachlan for Brayshaw so you don't have to hear endless McGuire-esque references to the sons of ex-North Melbourne players.

The highlight was probably Darcy responding to a ludicrous attempt at a mark by Fritsch by saying "He almost tunnelled himself. If that makes sense" It did not, but no harm done.

However, every time I watch a game with Matthew Richardson in special comments I feel sorry for him. He seems genuinely nice, and the thought of him tearing up at Richmond winning the flag always makes me tremendously jealous, but the other commentators always treat him with contempt, like they have absolutely no interest in what he's saying. He's not perfect, who is, but I'd rather hear what he has to say than some of the dickheads employed by 7.

Also on the subject of television, what is going on in that ad with a revoiced Petracca flogging McDonalds? Impossible to understand what he's saying, even if you wanted to, after they've given him the numptiest sounding voice of all time. I know players have to sign away the rights for their image to be used in anything but if I was him I'd ring up and offer to redo the same lines in my own voice so I didn't sound like somebody who'd been dropped on the head as a child.

Next Week
I can't see the results we need going our way, but you can only hope that we'll do the right thing. Given that we've previously lost to Essendon's B and C-teams in the same season there's no comfort in getting them while they're on their knees here. Importantly, for fans of history, we want to avoid giving James Hird his last win, and John Worsfold both his first and last as Bombers coach. Watch your back if they fixture us against Ben Rutten in Round 1 next year.

So, like Round 22, 2005 I expect an unnecessarily difficult struggle before winning. Unlike that day when Robbo's wacky bouncing snap was followed by a cut to the Footscray players realising their season has just been dicked, our players will be the ones left sitting around waiting for them to drag themselves over the line in a thriller. Hopefully nobody is stupid enough to allow a camera in to see it.

The postponement from Round 3 was hardly Connor McKenna's fault, he just got the sniffles and a dud COVID test, but it's ironic that he retired by the time the game finally got around to being played. As a nod to the saga they should force him to participate if he's still in Australia, whether he wants to or not. Actually, best not, we're already going to have to put up with Jake Stringer playing angry after being exposed as pudgy and a premiership winning coach desperately trying to end his career with a win so the fewer the storylines the better.

If there's any minor downside to not being eliminated last night it's that I don't get to unload the biggest suggested slaughter in the history of selection. Six points the other way and I've have plunged into double figures, instead it's bad luck to The Wagnii, Austin Bradtke, Kyle Dunkley and anyone else expecting a token game next week, the dream goes on and so do realistic changes.

The reintroduction of McDonald may be controversial in some sectors, but as serviceable as Brown has been he has never offered anything in the way of protection or support for Weideman. We badly need a big body next to the Weid, which was seemingly the idea when they picked Preuss before being abandoned after a week. If you're going to be cynical about it, this is a chance to fatten the Sizzle up for a trade. More importantly, it's a chance to overwhelm Essendon's already fragile backline. He has had one good game in two years but this would be a good time to have a final swing at making the role work.

Replacing Jetta, either injured or 'injured' as required, was more difficult. Lockhart is a better like-for-like switch, and has improved out of sight since the start of the year, but as long as he's 100% fit I'd prefer Hibberd's experience. We've already got Smith learning on the job, I can't take another L plater in the backline for such a crucial game. Also unlucky is Bennell, who couldn't get past Spargo and Anal-Bullet for a game in Cairns so he's not going to break into a winning formula now. No rush, will be an important player next year if his leg doesn't fall apart in pre-season.

IN: Hibberd, T. McDonald
OUT: Brown (omit), Jetta (inj)
LUCKY: Melksham, Smith, vandenBerg
UNLUCKY: Bennell, Lockhart

The Return of the Bradbury Plan


You don't even need a complicated Bradbury equation now, there's multiple options but they're all simple: We beat Essendon and:

Gold option - Footscray lose to either Hawthorn or Fremantle (NB: I took so long writing this that the Hawthorn option is already off the table)
Silver option - St Kilda lose to GWS and we beat Essendon by a margin that closes a 5.2% percentage gap. Rough calculations are that we'd need about a 50 point swing over the two games.
Bronze option - Collingwood lose to Gold Coast and Port

The order of games is important, St Kilda/GWS will be played before us so we'll know whether a) that option is still open to us, and b) how much we'd need to win by to overtake them. Hopefully the Giants release all their pent-up frustration and thuggery on them and win by 10 goals so it's irrelevant, because I can just see us trying desperately to rack up a big score against a wounded team and losing, only for the Dogs to go down as well.

Should we win at the traditional time of 2.10 on Saturday (at the untraditional location of Cararra) and the St Kilda escape route is shut, we've got to wait until 6.10pm Sunday night for the Footscray/Freo game at our old friend Cazaly's Fucking Stadium. Great opportunity for that ground to stick it up us one last time for 2020. That will probably be our last chance, unless Collingwood flub the Gold Coast game on Monday night, which will leave them needing to lose to Port Adelaide in the last game of the year. Which will be a perfect time for Port to shit the bed.

Should we somehow swerve through this minefield of potential disasters and qualify it's almost certain to mean going to Perth to play the Eagles, at which point we might have wished that we didn't make it.

Final thoughts
Patrick Hernandez was right to say it's good to be alive. Given that song was released the year we lost a game by 190 points I don't think he was talking about following Melbourne, but I'm happy to adopt it as an anthem for the next week. It was also used in an ad for booze, which I may turn back to next weekend after several years dry. I don't know why it matters so much for a shortened season with bite-size games and a finals series I can't watch in person but it just does. Enjoy a week of crushing tension and we'll reconvene at the same time next week - possibly without our fate confirmed yet - to discuss the next steps.

Tuesday, 8 September 2020

Shower of Shit

Back when such things were of international importance, I was more into Oasis than Blur, but the line "I'm a professional cynic but my heart's not in it" seems appropriate here. As you are no doubt aware Melbourne has done the laughing stock double, losing a must-win game favourite again and reducing their chances of playing finals to the dreaded 'mathematically'.

Even if you entered self-preservation mode and declined to watch, you probably knew what happened by the sounds of anguish from fans across the country. Sensors picked up a MiseryQuake that registered 4.0 on the Neeld Scale. We've earned the right to be referred to as 'long-suffering' and the club remains officially 'much-maligned'. As we head towards finishing with more losses than wins but with a percentage of over 100, the phrase 'downhill skiers' also comes to mind. Only on the gentlest of alpine courses though, the last two games have shown that the smallest obstacle ends in hurtling to our doom like a rank amateur trying the Giant Slalom.

This was in no way a lay-down certainty (though laying down was certainly involved), Freo were 5-9 but have been competitive all season. Even more so than Sydney, who did so much to make us look like clowns last week. They've also moments of high farce, so there was no telling what where this game was going to go. It was certainly a happening. The Dockers have conceded 19 and scored 16 at various times this year, and at one point it looked like the final score might end up being 19-16. We all love to wallow in the misery of others but any neutral was still watching at quarter time needs to have a good hard look at themselves.

When you consider how most of our list are industrial strugglers you'd think we'd be well suited to toil and struggle. Season 2020 says otherwise, when we stop scoring we die. The St Kilda game is the exception, and even then only because a mighty defensive effort covered up for our faulty attack. 

Like kicking a goal then conceding two immediately, maybe things would have turned out better if we'd lost in Alice Springs? Could have provided the wakeup call required to win both these games and basically be playing for a spot in the eight next week. More likely we'd have lost all three, for one half the team look physically shot, and secondly nobody's been worse at dealing with variable weather since Tony Bullimore. 

Even before the belting rain there can't have been a Melbourne fan alive 100% confident. Even if you thought bought into the real possibility of a win, there must have been a nagging doubt about us doing something silly. There always is - in trading, in drafting, but tellingly not usually in delisting.

Mike Tyson said, "Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the mouth." In our case it was "everybody has a plan until it rains", selecting Baker, Bedford, Hunt and Pickett for speed and Preuss as a big body to protect Weideman in forward contests. Reasonable ideas, though hard to see what Old Comedy Moustache Lips would do that the out of favour Tom McDonald couldn't, derailed only by a shitload of rain arriving somewhere between the side being picked and the game starting. 

It's the driest part of the year in Cairns, but did nobody think to consult the BOM just in case? Or... look up sometime before the bounce? Even in the wet the quicker players could theoretically have an impact, but the idea that Preuss was going to do anything other than flounder was wildly optimistic. In days of old a coach would realise when conditions didn't suit a tall forward and make a late change. This time we were either a) excessively loyal to the set game plan or b) thought players would just panic bomb long anyway so decided to try and use him to bring the ball to ground. Maybe c) these bastards are just making it up as they go along. Either way, I can't understand how a butter-fingered ruckman made it to the first bounce when (if?) we realised the big piss was on.

This would have been a danger game under any circumstances, but a fringe finals contender making four unenforced changes in the third last game of the year didn't bode well. As suspected by anyone who has watched recently, we have no idea what our best team looks like. I've got nothing against trying to something different after the Sydney stack but it demonstrated that our list isn't anywhere near contending for a premiership. Brayshaw and  Jackson would probably have played if fit, but otherwise it was a side that didn't deserve to play finals. Not AFL finals anyway. All this has left us where I thought we'd be before the AFL became a Ringling Brothers style travelling attraction, a barely top eight quality side that wouldn't beat a premiership contender in a final with a 20 minute head start. 

Under the circumstances I shouldn't get upset but we're footy fans and that's what we do. Part of the frustration is that we've got plenty of top end talent (when they fire) but the depth of a fish pond att he other. Off the top of my head the only players I'd pick without reservation would be May, Salem, Petracca, Viney, Gawn, Oliver and Langdon. There's arguments for the likes of Brayshaw, Lever and Weideman, but it gets very ropey outside the top 10. So when, like last night, the big hitters go alright but not well enough to carry everyone else on their back we're not going to win against any but the worst sides - and even then it might take three quarters to get rid of them. We also tried some wacky moves like Backline Bayley and Melksham as a tagger, nothing helped.

Frighteningly, the industrial strugglers at the bottom of our team are probably still amongst the best we've had for the last 10 years. This should have matched up well with Freo. They had the best individual player in Fyfe, the most dependable in Mundy and the most exciting in Walters, but otherwise had almost as many people you've never heard of as Sydney. And look how well that went. 

This is not to talk the Freo players down. Just becomes I'm willfully ignorant doesn't mean they're not good. Can't believe I'd never heard of somebody with a silly name like Taylin Duman (no relation, as far as well can tell, to Troughman) but go figure, it was his 37th game. Sadly my second favourite Longmuir brother's commitment to novelty selection didn't extend to reuniting Connor Blakley and Ed Langdon and testing whether there was any truth in the story that (deleted on legal advice).

Forget the cavalcade of potential Kinglseys, wht should have worried us was Freo conceding the fourth least points of any team this season. They'd only scored slightly more than Adelaide but the way we attacked last week this was no comfort. We could very well put up some bullshit score like... say... 4.9.33... that any club in the league should be able to cover. 

Nor did I fancy another played in the wind, much less the prospect of quite literally going to water when it started raining. Scarred by our wayward kicking with the wind in the first quarter last week I wasn't all that upset at losing the toss. After narrowly avoiding our first scoreless opening quarter since 2008, I realised it would probably have been better to have the advantage and get some confidence up early rather than rely on coming home with it in the last. But after last week do you trust that's what they would have done? Trust is in very short supply at the moment.

Maybe it would have stopped the ball being camped in Freo's forward line for 19 of the first 20 minutes. The wind was bad enough, but once it started raining our attempts to get the ball from one end of the ground to the other resembled Fitzcarraldo pulling his boat across a mountain. It was just awful viewing, whether tricky handball in the wet or long kicks to somebody who had no hope of holding the mark, we were powerless to keep the ball away from the Dockers for more than a few seconds at a time. At first they could only take advantage by scoring a lot of points. If you could guarantee we'd have taken advantage of the wind it wouldn't have been so bad. We were making it somewhat difficult for them to kick goals, it just looked like they'd barely need to get into double figures to cover our score.

Contrary to publicity, turns out our old mate Jesse Hogan is still a forward. Good for him. Even in the wet I expected this meant he'd kick six, but as gamely as he tried to have an impact it was not his night. There's about as much chance of him coming back as Watts but I've still got fantasies about saving his career - as if anyone's career could possibly be saved by playing for Melbourne. It's still tragic watching him do nothing in what should be the prime of his career. 

For the love of god, the man kicked 85 goals across his first two years in very ordinary teams, now he's 0.3 in five starts for 2020. There needs to be some sort of intervention before his career goes down the gurgler. Also, never seen the show in my life but wish we'd played Freo on the increasingly sandy Carrara for an Ex On The Beach reference. Would have also saved us from Cazaly's Fucking Stadium, the home of white plastic chairs, variable winds and Melbourne losing to the bottom four.

For a glorified VFL vs WAFL All-Star game it was certainly living up to expectations. We may have had one decent chance at scoring - not even a goal, just the ball being somewhere near our goalsquare - once in the first 18 minutes. Down the other end we were holding out reasonably well - including semi-professional Danny Bonaduce impersonator Oskar Baker making a fingertip save on the line. This was all fine, except their score was going up in ones and ours was going up in nones. I was already becoming morose.

Recency bias is a thing, but I'm struggling to think of an overall worse first quarter we've been involved in. We've played some spectacular shockers but it's usually balanced by the other team kicking six goals. This was slop vs slop in the slop. It surprised me that Goodwin didn't have a goalless first quarter until the West Coast final, and none at all last year. This was our fourth in 16 starts. You've got to adjust for shortened quarters but we can't let a couple of weeks of thumping the hapless detract from the fact that our forward line setup is putrid. There are worthy individuals down there but the unit runs like a 1982 Daihatsu Charade. Every once in a while they get lucky but for the last three weeks black smoke has been pouring out the exhaust.

The result of Freo chipping it around like a low-grade version of Geelong and us kicking at 30% when we did get our hands on it was a one goal to nil quarter. Considering how bad we've traditionally been at scoring I'm surprised you have to go back to 2014 for the last time we were involved in a such a lowly opening term. Even our boring as batshit first year team under Roos, and a GWS side that skirted the boundary of child labour laws got to a total of three goals by half time that day. This needed Name a Game to be resurrected just so they could confirm the master tape had been erased.

Highlights of the opening quarter were few and far between. Jack Viney and Gawn had a wholehearted bash for little overall reward. Otherwise, I have no idea. Viney was later kneed in the head in a marking contest with a force that would have killed an ordinary man and immediately bounced back to his feet. Jayden Hunt was less successful, briefly looking like he'd suffered a traumatic brain injury after a bump.

His central nervous system recovered in time to do a snap around the corner from 30 metres that fell short, into the arms of a Docker defender with nobody near him. I guess everyone just expected he'd make the distance into the wind after nearly getting a frontal lobotomy from a Freo player's shoulder. Turns out he was fine, returning to tick off the life achievement of kicking our only point of the first quarter and only goal of the second.

With the chance to reset and take in some words of encouragement from their coach, players came out for more of the same in the second quarter. There was probably still a wind, we just got no benefit from it. Petracca missed a shot early, then Freo went back to kicking points and we went back to falling on our arses, dropping marks, and trying Hollywood handballs in the wet. It was the most dreadful viewing ever.

Just as it looked like we might go to half time goalless, Hunt saved the day. Fair to say his career has gone to shit this year, but watching him return from the dead to undeservedly get us back into the game in pouring rain made me love him all over again. Like Melbourne, that will probably last until about quarter time next week.

If Rivers kicked his set shot in the dying seconds we'd have only been a point down and on the way to Grand Theft Football. He missed but I wasn't going to hold it against him in the circumstances. Trent was (relatively) very good, certainly offering more than just being Luke Jackson's fluffer. It left the total score across 40 minutes of football as 2.12.24. I can't even bring myself to work out the last time we were involved in anything so dismal but the opposition was probably University.

I don't want to turn this into an anti-coach session, but I hated the half-time praise he got from commentators for saying he wanted the players to be bolder with their ball movement. Was the phone from the coaches box disconnected for the entire second quarter? Could this not have been conveyed to them at some point in the preceding 16 minutes, instead of waiting to end the first half on one goal? At three quarter time they were falling over themselves to hang shit on the players for not following the plan, again any chance of getting a message out to them before then?

Even if we were contributing to the worst game ever played on colour television, winning would have made it all worthwhile. There was nothing to suggest that would happen, but blind faith and obligation kept me watching. Then, as it so often does, everything went tits up. In a bizarro world version of the Footscray game, they waited until the end of the third quarter to put us away, and about about 1% of the same speed.

After a few minutes of one side kicking it along the ground to the other and not a cracker of brave ball-movement Melbourne fans across the world were given the shits but conceding the opening goal. Arguably the Freo ruckman wouldn't have snatched the ball from a ball up and kick the goal if he hadn't given Gawn a two-handed shove in the back but that didn't need to be the difference. If you can't overcome conceding one goal to a dodgy decision did you deserve to win in the first place?

With the rain temporarily turned off, Freo wasted the goal at a Melbourne-esque rate, allowing us to go forward straight out the middle for once, finding free range Weid for the first time in two weeks, In a rarity for anyone wearing red and blue in this game he held a mark and converted. This undeservedly got us back into the game, and was another time where we might have decided to stop dicking around and take control. 

Instead, the game went back to 10 minutes of Auskick level skills, before a Gawn fumble in defence cost us a goal. I'm not blaming him, who in their right mind is expecting a gigantic ruckman to gather a loose ball in the wet? Our commitment to playing dry weather footy in the wet is remarkable, it's like we simply don't believe that rain exists and are determined to prove it by carrying it like the game is being played in the Gobi Desert. If Melbourne was a person it would be writing Facebook posts about 5G causing Coronavirus.

Under the conditions, getting the ball to ground inside 50 and applying a modicum of forward pressure was going to make somebody cough up the ball eventually. Freo knew this, and their next goal also came from a defensive fumble. This time it was Hibberd, who apparently went close to being withdrawn late because of his ankle injury. By the end of the night he probably wishes he'd put on a fake limp and settled in for a night with the hotel mini bar.

If you could get the ball to ground and apply even a modicum of forward pressure you were probably going to get somebody to cough up the ball eventually. Freo reiterated this when their next goal also came from a fumble in defence, this time from Hibberd, who apparently went close to a late withdrawal with his ankle injury. After this he probably wishes he'd put on a fake limp and stayed in the hotel.

Crumb is always important, but it's gold in these conditions. Freo got decent value for goals from open play, we couldn't buy one from anything other than a standing start. And could barely get any of those either. The worst miss was Pickett, victim of the biggest post-Rising Star fall from grace since Kent Butcher, who had ages to aim his snap but tried to flamboyantly kick the cover off it and missed. Worlds of potential, could do with some work on the basics. Maybe he's still bitter at that time they fined him for a perfectly good tackle?

From 17 points down we were set to find out if Burgess Ball worked in the wet. I'm not even sure it's real at all, but if it's ever going to work it needs a fully functioning forward line with multiple avenues to goal. And to not have to come back from three goals down in 16 minutes at football's most defensive era since the 1960s. 

Like last week we had a bash but it was too little, too late. This time we did get the margin under double figures, like we would have against the Swans if Langdon hadn't missed a sitter that turned into a Sydney goal. Same result, but without two egregrious set shot misses, and possibly the Goal of the Year at the other end. 

We had a chance through Fritsch, missing from 40 metres out on the left side of the 50 (name a more iconic duo), before the Freo player rolled what looked like the sealer through from a mile out on the boundary line. After a night of both sides struggling to find goals via conventional methods this was exactly the sort of plucked from the arse goal somebody needed. We could have played until Wednesday and not got one as good.

Now that the game was over we started to have a proper bash at winning. Which doesn't make any sense unless you speak Melbourne. With May going forward again, the ball finally spent some quality time in front of our goal, and when Fritsch finally got a first goal from a non-set shot we had three minutes to get two goals and steal the game. Chances are it would have been as pyrhhic a victory as the Brisbane one at the end of 2017 but I'd have had it.

As far as guilty parties getting away with it, this would have been at an OJ Simpson level. Imagine being somebody who advocates for an expanded finals series that would still leave us a chance of qualifying? That we can still make it into a final eight is bad enough. You can only think that the extra five games this year would have worked us out. Once the season is over and people can start to speak freely/leak like a sieve to journos, we might find out that the 21 hour day against the Saints was the physical breaking point, leading to the Sydney game picking up the spare by finishing them off mentally.

Surprisingly, the coach standing on the sidelines doing Goodwindmill manoeuvres with his arms didn't inspire a quickfire double, while time running out on both the game and (most likely) our season. Not the first time we've made fools of ourselves against Freo recently (remember unmade bed Cam McCarthy's Kingsley nomination at the 'G a couple of years ago?). Probably not the last.

And that, comrades, is basically that. There's multiple ways we can still make finals, and some of them are quite realistic but it's not going to happen. It's a long time since the win over Collingwood was so well-received that fans tipped in an extra $100,000. Now the Pies will be playing finals while the players who thrashed them watch from home, hopefully taking notes from top clubs and pondering what they're going to do to improve next year.

Somebody also needing a bit of a ponder is the coach, about to wrap up his third finals-free season of four. It's disappointing, but you can calm down on ordering the coaching death squad to finish him off before Saturday night. He's got less mates than $cully at the moment but is still 0% chance of being sacked without setting foot in Victoria again. The probability goes up marginally once they get home but not by much. Unless Ross Lyon is about to be parachuted in (and I don't know whether to be interested or terrified) I dispute that there will be enough time to do a proper job of getting a new coach before trading/drafting/2021 pre-season. Next season will probably start a bit later than normal but not by much.

My patience is wearing thin but I'm willing to take my blood sacrifice in the form of an assistant coach massacre. No animosity towards them individually, but we've plodded through two years of patchy development and are still suspect under the slightest pressure. Not sure that's what they mean when waffling on about building a recognisable brand, but we've got to get some new faces in. 

Goodwin also hung a millstone around his neck by busting out a motherhood statement about wanting the side to be "more ruthless". Best hope the board don't take that advice, or he might return to Brisbane and find his access card for the hub hotel has stopped working. I expect the word 'ruthless' will now be used to garotte him at every opportunity, like Neeld's infamous "hardest team to play against" shortly before two years of surrender.

As a rallying cry it was lacking, I don't even understand what he meant. Perhaps it's something you need more context to understand. More likely he thought he needed to put on a tough act and reached for a buzz word. Not like ruthlessness is completely alien to us, we did gleefully kick the suitcase out of sides when they were down in the last quarter just a few weeks ago. 

I'll give him the benefit of having said something he didn't get the chance to explain (which presumably will now be used against him by the people who have previously complained that he never says anything in press conferences), but am more interested in playing the same way from the first bounce against teams from 1st to 18th on the ladder than the Vlad the Impaler stuff. Which is why I feel he can't possibly have used the word the way I heard it.

While I'm skeptical about him going the same way as every coach but Paul Roos, the next two weeks will make all the difference. If we die in a screaming heap against the Giants and lose to Essendon by any margin there's going to be so much noise that they'll probably get trigger happy and put him away. There's something to look forward to. Remember, football is meant to be a fun distraction from the rest of your life.

2020 Allen Jakovich Medal for Player of the Year 
Nil deserved. You'd complain that a beaten midfield got votes if everyone else hasn't been beaten too.

5 - Jack Viney
4 - Max Gawn
3 - Christian Petracca
2 - Trent Rivers
1 - Clayton Oliver

Apologies to Fritsch, Langdon and May

Leaderboard
As I said last week, the key to winning this award is to poll in shit games. Great news for Petracca, who has all but got it in the bag after doing just that two games in a row. Obviously it's down to him or Oliver now but I'm still optimistically leaving in the elimination lines that involve finals.

Like Michael Jackson in the 90s there's movement in the minors, with Trent Rivers finally bursting the Hilton race open. It was in no way votes just to break the deadlock, in the context of the dreadful performance he was fine. And that's about all you could ask for on a night like this. 

And May is all but home in the Seecamp. He can't be beaten unless we play finals, and given the rate defenders traditionally poll at I can't see Salem stringing together three BOGs into an Elimination Final to draw level, ending his hopes of a three-peat. May will become the first tall to win since Tom McSizzle (remember him?) in 2015, and having played for Gold Coast and Melbourne, this may be the greatest honour of his career.

42 - Christian Petracca
34 - Clayton Oliver
--- No hope without one final ---
30 - Max Gawn (WINNER: Jim Stynes Medal for Ruckman of the Year), Jack Viney
--- No hope without two finals ---
24 - Steven May (PROVISIONAL WINNER: Marcus Seecamp Medal for Defender of the Year)
--- No hope without three finals ---
18 - Ed Langdon
--- No hope at all ---
10 - Angus Brayshaw
9 - Christian Salem
6 - Michael Hibberd, Sam Weideman
4 - Jake Lever, Adam Tomlinson
3 - Trent Rivers (LEADER: Jeff Hilton Rising Star Medal)
2 - Jake Melksham
1 - Mitch Hannan, Jay Lockhart, Kysaiah Pickett

NB: The usual mid-season audit on the votes was delayed due to disinterest. Now finally complete, it turns out I shortchanged Oliver and Tomlinson one vote each. How you get the total wrong when somebody should be on four I don't know, but they have been updated accordingly. Also, it was pointed out that I still had Gawn as provisional winner, that has also been corrected to confirm his seventh Stynes.

Aaron Davey Medal for Goal of the Year
Pure extraction of urine to have to give this out under the circumstances. Fritsch's snap wins by default as the only non-set shot kicker of the night but even he'd probably be embarrassed to get a prize for this. Only Melbourne could be restricted to four goals and still get 75% of them in a way that didn't suit the conditions. There's probably some hotel recreation room gag right in front of me but I'm not in a fit state to capitalise.

Speaking of Fritsch, Brad Johnson seemed to be convinced that his surname was actually 'Fritz'. Otherwise, what was there to be upset about? 

Dwayne Russell carried on like he was calling D-Day but there's nothing new about that. The worse we are the less he offends me. One disastrous performance deserves another.

By the time things started getting perverse I wanted them to remove Jason Dunstall from the main call and set up an option (mash the red and blue buttons) where you could hear him and Garry Lyon give uncensored views about our performance. Could have rivalled the legendary Jeff Kennett and Andrew Peacock phone call for profanities per minute.

Next Week
 

Giving up would be the easy option, and I don't blame anyone who does, but I'll dutifully front up on Saturday night to watch us finish collapsing like a Russian apartment block. Not going to much effort though, might not even waste two hour of pixel life on my TV and just put it on a window in the corner of the computer while I do something that brings more positivity into to my life. Which could be just about anything down to and including a documentary about Ted Bundy.

You couldn't trust Melbourne as far as you could throw them (and now the season is shot it's certainly 'them/they', not 'we/us') but they're not going to surprise us here. We lose, we lose substantially and the Essendon game becomes the least viewed TV game involving two Victorian clubs in history. I'm going to go bananas on the changes for that one, so will be slightly more reserved here.

I'm giving Preuss another go (if it's dry), and if he doesn't show anything then he must spend next year playing as a key forward with Casey. With Gawn and Jackson ahead of him there is no requirement to develop any more as a ruckman, you know what you're going to get there, turn him into a forward who can competently ruck or pay him to sit at home.

Likewise Baker also stays. There's no point just picking these guys then dumping them straight away, so while I have zero faith in as a long term option he may as well get a chance in a must-win game.

The outs start with Pickett, who has all the time in the world to get it right but has been slaughtered by the lack of a reserves competition to develop in this year. It follows with vandenBerg, who I am right off. Don't really even know why but the vandWagon is being parked next to The Reality Bus for the rest of the season. And if Hibberd was fit tonight I'll go hee so he can have a rest.

No idea what Bennell, Harmes and Lockhart are going to do. Maybe Lockhart could play forward? But they're just the first available players I want to see. Marty Hore is available again, but even if he is in Queensland what's the point picking him now? He can have a go as part of the world record number of changes the next week. 

I was tempted by one last swing at Tom McDonald before we inevitably give him away for peanuts at the end of the year. There's an interesting claim in this post that he was told to put on 10kg this year to play full forward, stuffing up his endurance running. Doesn't look that much bigger to me so this may be pure bollocks but something's gone drastically wrong there. We'll see how he goes at another club after the Watts style fire-sale for pick 40.

IN: Harmes, Bennell, Lockhart
OUT: Pickett, vandenBerg (omit), Hibberd (rested)
LUCKY: Baker, Preuss
UNLUCKY: Jetta, T. McDonald, Spargo, J. Wagner

The Return of the Bradbury Plan


Yes it's still marginally alive. Footscray's win over the Eagles and our week of tremendous cockups have made it difficult, but I offer you three unlikely but not possible scenarios. All require us to beat both GWS and Essendon.

1) Collingwood lose to Gold Coast and Port, St Kilda lose to WCE and GWS - leaving a percentage battle between us and them for eight spot. This no doubt ends with us missing out by 0.01%.
2) Footscray lose to either Hawthorn or Freo and St Kilda lose to WCE/GWS - again ends in percentage
3) GWS lose to us and either Adelaide or St. Kilda and Collingwood lose to Gold Coast OR Footscray lose 1/2 - at which point make it by half a game and the AFL steps in to force a return to the McIntyre Final 6.

The more likely scenario is that we lose to the Giants, beat Essendon (?) and finish 10th. Joy to the world.

Federation Square
Your state-by-state guide to season 2020:

Western Australia - bad
Victoria - bad
New South Wales - good
South Australia - great
Queensland - shithouse

Can only imagine the sort of trouble we'd have gotten ourselves into if they'd made us play North in Hobart as planned. There's still time to take Melbourne and Essendon to Norfolk Island in Round 18. And leave them there.

Final thoughts
Most of the time after a disappointing loss I calm myself with an outburst, get on with life and rapidly feel better. This was the reverse, I turned off the TV and tried to convince myself this was how the season was always going to turn out. Then about two hours later a tidal wave of misery hit me. If I had any more of a chip on my shoulder the arm would have fall off. 

We're all aware of the futility of following Melbourne but at times like this, it feels like a long-running reality show pisstake that everyone else is in on. Show some humanity and point me towards the door. Good afternoon, good evening and good night.

Friday, 4 September 2020

Bathwater overdose

Whatever the Melbourne Football Club is, and I've got a few suggestions, we are not 4.40pm on a Thursday in Cairns specialists. In fact, we may have been the worst thing to happen to North Queensland since the Brisbane Line. Secretly you knew it was going to happen, responding to gaining a foothold in the eight by shooting ourselves in the same foot, failing to rustle up anything more than a token effort against the side previously occupying 16th on the ladder.

Is there anything more modern Melbourne than ending up in the same place we expected to be before last week but with the added humiliation of crumbling as red hot favourites? Just when you thought we'd finally mastered the art beating of lowly sides it turns out that only extends as far as 17th and 18th. Time to add a fancy Latin phrase to our logo, and as there's no translation for #fistedforever, I suggest Vitae Dolor Sit - or as we know it Life is Pain.

After the sporting and real-life rollercoaster of 2020, I haven't got it in me to carry my outrage for long. If I'd written this immediately after the game there would have been much more vitriol. Now it's three days until we can partially redeem ourselves at the same ground so I'm trying to look forward to the response rather than thinking in any great depth about the fiasco. But before we can move on here's the few thousand words of 'woe is us' content that you come here for.

Every team has unexpected losses, but imagine going for a side you could trust to do the right thing more often than not. Some neutrals might know how that feels, I can't see a scenario where I'll ever be comfortable. Even if we somehow turned out to be good at some stage in my life I'm so mentally beaten that I'd always be waiting for it to turn bad.

Yes, the weekly swing from restrained elation to pure, drizzling misery is on again. There's very little middle ground when it comes to Melbourne. When we were toxic all I wanted was to be mid-table and mediocre, now as much as I'd rather be here than 2-20 with a percentage in the low 50s I realise that being teased with success is traumatic in its own way.

I wouldn't follow anyone else now, and Melbourne will get my money unless they turn into a front for the Ku Klux Klan, but it's a tiring lifestyle. Forget Channel 7 celebrities doing video messages of hope for stranded Victorians, do one specifically for Melbourne fans. Dr. Harry Cooper could tell us how to put the white sheet up around an entire footy club.

A warning in advance that this post will be about as good as Melbourne's performance. I watched three quarters under psychological duress and listened to the other on the radio and can't remember much except Sydney players standing on their own inside 50 and Sam Weideman trying to take marks from nine deep in a pack.

Of course, I'd say this now, but if you take a long term view, missing this year is not the worst thing in the world. Especially when you can see from our 22 this week that we're not in the same universe as premiership clubs. But the last three games still mean a lot to me, for one I'd love players to get some validation for spending the year touring around like the Leyland Brothers, and on a more person note I'd love some proof that 2019 was the fluke and not 2018. At the moment we're looking at dropping somewhere in the middle, leaving open the possibility of going downhill again in 2021. And that's the point where I'll drop my bundle, kick it across the room, and live stream the cops bashing my door down.

As far as massive debacles against the Swans go, it was no Round 13, 1993 but did bear striking similarities to the end of 2018 when all we had to do was win to confirm finals and stuffed it up. That had a happy ending against a Western Australian team the following week, I'm not so sure this is going to follow the same script. Indeed I have NO IDEA what's going to happen next, this side could do anything between winning by 10 goals and kicking 1.5.11.

Just like that infamous day at the MCG two years ago we turned up (this time virtually in most cases) with hope in our hearts, only to kick for goal as if pissed and leave ourselves in a massive hole at three quarter time. All it lacked was one of our suicidal forward entries being used as a springboard for Mark of the Year. Otherwise, it was bad football played by ordinary teams in unpleasant conditions. If we won there'd be nothing that couldn't be swept under the carpet, but after throwing it all away in one mad quarter again I'm prepared to believe that it means we're finished.

The good news is that if you're the sort of person who can't accept defeat without a conspiracy, there are mitigating factors. Rumours suggest Sydney had been there two days while we flew in that afternoon. Not ideal if true, but that's the nature of this off-chops season. Remember playing Collingwood when they'd had two less days rest? Also doesn't explain why we played like a busted arsehole from the first bounce. I even saw somebody blame the umpires, and while I don't think we were suited to the abolition of 50/50 holding the ball decisions, it's stretching to a dangerous degree to pretend they were the difference.

Like a lower intensity version of the Port game, the tone was set in the opening seconds. Salem was handed the ball in the middle, stood around as if waiting for a bus and was poleaxed. If he'd been able to fling it out like he was playing rugby he'd have gotten away with it, but the Sydney player had so much time to line up the tackle there was no chance of escape. It rarely got any better than that.

Did you have the same feeling of dread as me when they showed a strong wind blowing to one end? Especially with Fox Footy weatherman Alistair Lynch's assurances that it was going to drop off after quarter time. After losing in Hobart several times I'm not keen on games where we have to capitalise on the conditions to win. I don't care if that's how they played footy for 150 years until Docklands (my new mate) was built, 99% of people wouldn't use a time machine to go back and watch a game at the Western Oval. Roof everything.

Even before I knew what sort of performance we were going to put on (about 15 seconds into the first quarter), winning the toss to kick with the breeze was no comfort. Maybe in the week where half our side were contenders for the VFL Team of the Decade recent experience at Casey Fields would have helped. Instead, the team generously labelled The Entertainers when they were pulling goals out of their arse a few weeks ago had no earthly idea how to cope with it.

Watching us trying to go forward was like seeing a small child try to walk for the first time. They knew where they wanted to go but had no idea how to get there. Part of this was down to Sydney having watched tapes of our recent performances (fancy that), and charging on masse to where The Weid was standing whenever the ball came off a midfielder's boot. On a night where he usually had to contend with four defenders on his own, he kept trying but had a disastrous night, two disposals and never going close to scoring.

This wouldn't have been so bad if we'd have had anyone capable of crumbing (plenty capable of crumbling), or our forward pressure rating was higher than:



Sydney are no Footscray, so their rebound 50s didn't end in the same lightning transitions into the forward line. Never mind, even though they'd usually be held up on the way we were rumbled at stoppages too. There's a school of thought that Gawn isn't tapping the ball to the right place, I'm holding the midfield accountable.

I agreed with Pickett being dropped, but we were dead-set putrid when the ball hit the ground inside 50. Talk to me about Melksham, who still does some of the prettiest kicks you'll ever see when he gets the ball in space (e.g. the pass to Brayshaw) but has seemingly lost the plot at everything else. I cherish his 2017/2018 performances but he has never seemed right since the leg injury. Even adjusted for the shortened games, his numbers in every category are well down. I'm surprised that he's only averaging 2.3 inside 50s a game when he always seems to be hanging around on a half-forward flank waiting to have it kicked to him.

Melk's best quarter was the first, setting up two opportunities for teammates to miss. Down the other end Sydney did everything you want a team to do into the wind, kicking goals from open play instead of relying on set shots. When they got the second goal my blood pressure started to rise. I calmed myself with comparisons to the North game, where we took the hint after a slow start and went on to waffle them. And indeed, for the rest of the quarter we were the better side. With May playing every role in the backline on his own we always looked like conceding if the ball got down there but kept them at bay for long enough that you thought (incorrectly) things might turn out alright.

First Brayshaw nearly tested the newly installed goal line cameras by sneaking a snap past the post by about 3mm, then a neat Spargo finish from the boundary put us ahead. The way the second quarter went it's doubtful if Gus' second shot, via the golden Melksham kick, would have made much difference, but who's going to say no to eight point lead at the break after playing so badly? Like 95% of our tackles he missed. Last week we basically won the game by kicking accurately in a bad first quarter while the other side missed everything, this was in fashions the opposite result.

Then, if you thought the wind wasn't that much of a factor in our poor forward play, Sydney set out to prove otherwise. Boundary rider Mike Larkin's fearless weather predictions were not correct, and with their use of the breeze, the Swans spent 20 minutes belting the suitcase out of us, with no obvious plan to stop them. They wiped out our lead within the first two minutes, then added another two for good measure, while we blundered forward and didn't even look like scoring.

I'd spent all day warming up for the late afternoon start by comfort eating to the point where I nearly had to be extracted from the building by forklift, now I was wishing I'd been fed a cup of Russian nerve gas. The lowest moment had to be final confirmation that it's time for Nathan Jones to chunk it in. When he got into space, then punted the ball straight to a Sydney defender it was time for Nev to invade the field, put the arm around him and suggest they both head back to Melbourne immediately.

The road trip is slightly less appealing from Cairns than it would be from Adelaide but I've done that drive and there are highlights if you try hard enough. In rural NSW I drove 200km down a road that turned out to be blocked and had to go 200km back the other way with the petrol gauge plummeting faster than Melbourne's premiership hopes. Turns out the road is still no good - and if you're wondering how I ended up in Central NSW on a trip between Cairns and Melbourne, well I don't know either. Nor did the people whose car I was moving, who had me sign a document saying I'd stay within 200km of the coast at all times. Didn't read it.

Jones 300 is a pipedream now, let alone Neitz's record of 306. I don't want people to watch him with animosity so it's time to go out with his head held high. And as it turns out, his quad wrapped in ice. Considering the wide variety of NQR scenarios he's been involved in during his career, I think going out injured, as losing favourites, on a random ground, in the most obscure timeslot we've ever played in would be appropriate.

By half time we were 28 points down and practically no chance. Enough teams had come back from six goals behind in the last few weeks to suggest there was a chance but I wasn't having any of it. Didn't help that the super-important Viney and Petracca were having their worst games of the season. I'm not holding it against them, they have been going hell for leather for weeks now and there had to be a let down eventually. Just didn't help our chances of getting the ball to a free player inside 50. Fritsch was also terrible, probably still thinking about how close he went to winning the Claw Game in the hotel lobby when he was supposed to be at training.

It can't be understated how bad we were inside forward 50. With the Weid unsighted, Brown was a barely adequate second fiddle, and with nobody else looking likely I doubted we could reach their score of 7.2.44 by full time, let alone stop them from scoring enough to win. Turns out our four quarters beat their first half by two points. This is not a good thing.

It's a long time since Braydon Preuss - of all people - made Aliir Aliir look like an amateur at the SCG. Obviously we'd forgotten that outrageous success of playing somebody on him that night and opted to instead let Aliir do whatever he pleased. If one of our talls was meant to be taking care of him the instruction must have been written in invisible ink. After a half of this I thought maybe they'd throw one of the backmen who has previously kicked goals down there to give a contest. And so it was, with Oscar McDonald (80 games, 1 goal) sent forward while Joel Smith (once kicked four in a practice game on a windy ground) was left floundering in defence.

Disinterest in summer sports means I haven't seen a live event since the day Oscar kicked a goal 55 weeks ago (also featuring people you've never heard of again like Oskar Baker, Kyle Dunkley, Harrison Petty and Corey Wagner), and he didn't add to the tally this time. He did exactly as you'd expect, gamely trying to have an impact in an unfamiliar role while wearing resting baffled face and offering nothing but a warm body in front of Sydney's defenders. I don't blame him for not being able to play in a completely unfamiliar position, but did have several key concerns about what he did in the second quarter while playing where he was supposed to. Sadly, I think I'd still rather him in defence than Smith. I'd prefer Tom down that than either of them.

We were almost as bad with the wind the second time around, keeping the Swans goalless but only kicking one of our own. Even that came from a 50, to the returning Anal-Bullet, who must still be upset that we didn't think enough to him to even launch a token challenge to his four game suspension. Other than that we didn't get any of our own, 50% Forward Fritsch had a chance late (from the left side of the 50, you won't be surprised to learn) but missed, leaving us on 3.7 at the last change, 21 points in the hole.

The obscure scheduling of this game meant settling in for another big last quarter of watching on my phone in a carpark, seeing how many times the Kayo app would crash. I climbed in as the siren went to start the last quarter, and when Sydney kicked the first goal I flung my phone onto the drivers seat, jammed the keys in with a force that could have broken them and drove off. It felt shameful but what was I honestly going to miss from there that justified getting home half an hour later? I'd been up since 5am and there are now more crackheads than normal people in the CBD, I just wanted to get back to the Towers and wallow. Radio coverage would have to do.

After a couple of weeks where it's nearly been exposed as a myth, there was a bit of Burgess Ball about the last quarter. Harmes had made a mockery of my demands to pick him by doing nothing for three quarters, but got the goal that put us back in it. Maybe go back to the original plan and play him as a forward again?

At this stage rain was alleged to have started falling, which made it even more unlikely that we'd rattle home against the remaining breeze and stage the most unlikely victory since Rocky IV, but things briefly got interesting.

First the ultimate 'break in case of emergency' move of playing May forward paid off with a screaming pack mark and a goal, then Langdon was basically handed a free goal by a 50 that brought him to the top of the square on a narrow angle. As this was happening I had two thoughts a) where can I pull off the freeway and watch the rest of the game without being caught by a Corona Death Squad, and b) imagine if he goes back to trying to find every method under the sun to avoid kicking goals?

With no crowd reaction to judge by, the uproarious laughter of the commentators told me I may as well keep driving. And when the Swans went straight down the other end for the sealer it was lucky nobody else was on the road. You would have loved to be driving past me at that moment, as I indulged my favourite past-time while alone and swore like a trooper. I'd already mentally written off any chance of winning after he missed the kick, but conceding at the other end was excessive extraction of piss.

Ed played a dog of a last quarter, but he'd been very good until then. Two high profile cock-ups at the end shouldn't detract from field kicking that has been way better recently. I expect by now he was just stuffed from being the only player who looked remotely capable of moving the ball from one end to the other.

Gawn had a chance from the same spot as Langdon and missed as well. This was less of a shock, given that he has to drop the ball from the top of the Empire State Building to his boot. Which is strange, because his field kicking is fantastic for somebody of that size. Besides, there was no time to win it now anyway, it would have just given us false hope. Instead, we got Colossal Langdon Disaster #2, first doing the right thing by chasing down what would have been a certain goal, then getting excited and trying to take the kick-in and stuffing it straight down the throat of a Sydney player. I respect that he was just trying to get the ball moving given the time and margin but as they say in the classics "don't do shit you're not qualified to do."

It's unfortunate that Langdon and Maximum will be remembered more for what they did wrong at the end than right in the previous three quarters, because (spoiler) I thought they were our two best players. Fortunately we don't subscribe to the theory that you're only a good as your last kick or Mitch Brown would be getting five votes. He finally got our sixth (what an achievement) in the dying seconds but we'd been dead and buried for minutes. You're not going to win very often kicking 6.10.46.

For 16th place they aren't a bad side, now sitting 5-9. Unfortunately as predicted last week we got the version that thrashed GWS, not the one that had been shit against everyone else. More unfortunately, the real Melbourne returned, playing dumb as a post football from siren to siren and tripping over their own feet at every opportunity. Either burn the tapes, or secretly stash them away and release a double pack of anti-coach hate if we lose to the Dockers.

Like Bart Simpson's famous "I didn't do it", the world was poised for Goodwin to talk about learnings and/or connection in the press conference. Would have been a good night for the latter but like his players he wasn't interested. The problem was they didn't keep him there long enough. After a performance like this he should have been subject to one of those Daniel Andrews style 90 minute misery reports where every journalist gets to ask a question, no matter how stupid.

There must be some concern over our forward line. In the last eight games we've now scored 49, 32, 88, 92, 100, 52, 52 and 46. I don't like that as a pyramid, winning with 52 last week was an anomaly that won't happen often. Even that was built on the heroics of our backline, and having watched the MFC career of James Frawley from start to finish I can assure you that having one backman heroically trying to keep everything together will not translate into success.

We're back to the point where I have to say calm down there's no chance of sacking the coach. For my own selfish purposes I need him to get through part of next season to set up the final chapter of the 2017-2021 sequel to The Great Deepression. We haven't played a normal season under him yet, from the gigantic choke in the first season, the fast-burning fairytale in the second, the rapid fall to earth in 2019 and the travelling circus of farce and shambles this season. Where would you rather be?

2020 Allen Jakovich Medal for Player of the Year 
No votes deserved, but somebody's got to get them. When your top two both missed from point-blank range in the last quarter of a (semi) tight game you know how well things went.

5 - Max Gawn
4 - Ed Langdon
--- Struggletown ---
3 - Steven May
--- The poor part of Struggletown ---
2 - Adam Tomlinson
1 - Clayton Oliver

Apologies to Neal-Bullen, who may have snuck in for the last vote.

Leaderboard
Over the years we've discovered that the best way to get ahead in this competition is to put in the least stinkiest performance in an otherwise all-round disaster. This would have been a great opportunity for Oliver to claw back some ground on Petracca, but he barely clambered into the top five because everyone else was so crap.

With a minimum 15 votes left, Steven May just remains in front of the first elimination line. Nobody else can win without two finals, and there's no bloody chance of that at this rate. Gawn is just hanging out the back of the Truck vs Hamburglar contest and waiting for a Bradbury-esque stack but I don't like his chances.

No change in the minors, May is now far enough in front of Salem that he wins if we don't play finals. Still nothing in the Hilton, where Austin Bradtke is biding his time waiting for a last round 'play the kids' comedy call-up

39 - Christian Petracca
32 - Clayton Oliver
26 - Max Gawn (PROVISIONAL WINNER: Jim Stynes Medal for Ruckman of the Year)
25 - Jack Viney
24 - Steven May (PROVISIONAL WINNER: Marcus Seecamp Medal for Defender of the Year)
--- No hope without two finals ---
18 - Ed Langdon
--- No hope without four finals ---
10 - Angus Brayshaw
9 - Christian Salem
6 - Michael Hibberd, Sam Weideman
4 - Jake Lever
--- Abandon all hope ye beyond here ---
3 - Adam Tomlinson
2 - Jake Melksham
1 - Mitch Hannan, Jay Lockhart, Kysaiah Pickett (JOINT LEADER: Jeff Hilton Rising Star Medal), Trent Rivers (JOINT LEADER: Jeff Hilton Rising Star Medal)

Kingsley Korner
Sixth gamer Lewis McInerney had a delightful time in the second quarter but it's too early in his carer to judge his Kingsley kandidature. I do, however, object to being beaten by the Prime Minister of Canada:



Aaron Davey Medal for Goal of the Year
Often I'll have a look at the highlights after a loss to help judge this segment. In this case I'd rather watch a DVD box set of Mrs. Brown's Boys while being roasted on an open fire. The winner is Charleston Spargo for his goal from the boundary line in the first quarter. For playing in this match his weekly prize is the DVD box set. Petracca vs North remains the clubhouse leader.

I was so sullen and depressed that even the free-association beat poetry of Dwayne 'n Derm had no effect on me.

Usually one of them will offer some sort of insanity that sticks in my mind. Tonight it was just noise, in Derm's case long and drawn out, for Dwayne high pitched squealing like a kid at an [insert name of hot musical act] concert.

We'll be back on Fox next Monday night. Help us out by letting Eddie recap the top 40 racist slurs by fans at Victoria Park.


Next Week
A four day gap against a team that just scored 4.5.29, what could possibly etc... etc... ? Freo might want Hogan to be a defender but they'd be mad not to give him one more opportunity forward against us. You'd think that May would slaughter him, but with the bonus points for playing against your old side and for a Melbourne team obsessed with doing weird, unexpected things he could kick eight. More likely he plays in defence and gets a years' worth of development in one night as we kick it to him 32 times.

You'd think we'd win but being optimistic this week didn't get me anywhere. So I assume we lose, the season is over, fans go nuts, and crowdfunding campaigns/Change.org petitions to sack Goodwin threaten to overwhelm the internet.

As for changes, get the chainsaw out. Oscar and Smith are not good defenders, though if pressed I'd keep Sizzle Jr. first. I never want to see Smith again unless he's inside forward 50 trying to outdo his dad's collection of screamers. Fritsch can have another week of table tennis while Bedford gets a go, one last chance for the very much out of favour Hunt, and Hibbard, Lockhart and Bennell come back for no better reason than I want to see them.

Spargo leaves with with apologies. He is halfway decent at forward pressure and not terrible when he gets the ball, he just doesn't get enough of it. He's done enough that I'm comfortable with keeping him for next year, but for now step aside and get Bennell back in the side. And Jones will go out injured but sadly I was going to have to drop him anyway. Nothing personal, still love the man.

IN: Bedford, Bennell, Hibberd, Hunt, Lockhart
OUT: O.McDonald, Smith, Fritsch, Spargo (omit), Jones (inj, but secretly omit)
LUCKY: Brown, Harmes, Melksham
UNLUCKY: Hannan, T. McDonald, Preuss, vandenBerg, any breathing individual. Is Oskar Baker still alive?

The Return of the Bradbury Plan


Everything was heading our way for a few days, now we're back in the shit. If Collingwood beat Brisbane tonight they'll be safe, and if the Dogs do likewise against West Coast we'll be left hoping everyone falls on their arse, even in the unlikely event of doing the right thing and winning next week. I did a ladder predictor, and via beating Freo and Essendon but losing to GWS we missed out on eighth spot to St Kilda by 0.6%, which would be an improvement on the margin that kept us out in 2017. Knowing us we're more likely to lose to Freo, beat GWS and forget the Round 18 game is on.

No threat to us, win everything - Brisbane, Port, West Coast (↑), Geelong, Richmond, North, Adelaide, Sydney, Hawthorn, Fremantle (↓)
Could be dragged into the race so may as well lose to non-threats - , Collingwood
Likely no threat, can do us favours by beating other mid-table teams - Carlton (↓), 
Outside threat. Beat some mid-table teams, lose to everyone else - Gold Coast (↓), Essendon (↓)
Big threats, lose everything until further notice (matches between them to be decided on a case-by-case basis) - GWS, Footscray, St Kilda (↓)

Your cut-out-and-keep guide for matches until the next post:

Brisbane d. Collingwood
North vs Port - hope everybody has a fun time
Hawthorn d. St Kilda
Geelong d. Essendon
West Coast d. Footscray
Adelaide d. GWS
Sydney d. Carlton
Brisbane d. Gold Coast

Final thoughts
Like season 2020, this club will never run out of ways to surprise you. Unlike season 2020 we've got to do all this again next year. I'm not giving up, may they find me dead on my couch after a three point loss to North on the moon in 2081.